Charles Jackson
O last day of the Premier League game is full of high-stakes action with the title to be decided on Sunday. City now go into the final day with a two-point lead over Arsenal, but both teams will need results from their respective games against West Ham and Everton to secure their lead until the final whistle. It won’t be the only race at stake on Sunday, with places in the UEFA Europa League and Conference League up for grabs, as well as the final death knell in the relegation race to be played out.
Here’s a look at the scenarios at play in the Premier League on Championship Sunday.
Sunday schedule
All matches will begin at 11am ET
- Manchester City x West Ham
- Arsenal vs Everton
- Liverpool x Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Sheffield United vs Tottenham Hotspur
- Luton Town x Fulham
- Brighton and Hove Albion vs Manchester United
- Brentford x Newcastle United
- Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
- Burnley x Nottingham Forest
- Chelsea x Bournemouth
The race for the title
|
1. City of Manchester |
37 |
27 |
7 |
3 |
93 |
33 |
+60 |
88 |
|
2.Arsenal |
37 |
27 |
5 |
5 |
89 |
26 |
+61 |
86 |
City and Arsenal remain in contention for the title on Sunday, but the defending champions enter the end of the season with an 83.9% chance of lifting the trophy for the fourth consecutive season, by Opta. Here’s a look at the scenarios each team needs to finish top of the table on the final day of the season.
City of Manchester
- A win against West Ham
- A draw or defeat against West Ham plus a draw or defeat for Arsenal against Everton
Arsenal
- A win against Everton plus a draw with Manchester City or defeat against West Ham
Qualifying for Europe
|
5. Tottenham Hotspur |
37 |
19 |
6 |
12 |
71 |
61 |
+10 |
63 |
|
6.Chelsea |
37 |
17 |
9 |
11 |
75 |
62 |
+13 |
60 |
| 7. Newcastle United | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | +21 | 57 |
| 8.Manchester United | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
Tottenham Hotspur are officially out of contention for the UEFA Champions League, but are favorites for a place in next season’s UEFA Europa League, with a 90.6% chance of finishing fifth. The only team that can catch them at this point is Chelsea, but it would take a dramatic series of events to happen. Manchester United can still technically qualify, but only through the FA Cup. Here’s a look at what each team needs in the battle for a Europa League spot.
Tottenham Hotspur
- A win or draw against Sheffield United
- A defeat to Sheffield United plus a draw for Chelsea or defeat to Bournemouth
Chelsea
- A victory against Bournemouth and a defeat for Tottenham against Sheffield
Manchester United
- Win the FA Cup against Manchester City on May 25
This group of teams are also in the race to qualify for the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Chelsea the favorites to finish their first season under Mauricio Pochettino in a respectable sixth place. The Blues’ chances are 82.8%, while Newcastle’s shot drops to 7.8% and United’s is close to 0%. Here’s a look at the Conference League qualifying scenarios.
Tottenham Hotspur
- A defeat to Sheffield United and a victory for Chelsea over Bournemouth
Chelsea
- A win over Bournemouth plus a Tottenham win or draw over Sheffield United
- A draw or defeat against Bournemouth plus a draw or defeat for Newcastle against Brentford
Newcastle United
- A win over Brentford and a Chelsea defeat to Bournemouth
Manchester United
- A win over Brighton and a superior goal difference over Chelsea and Newcastle, plus a Chelsea defeat to Bournemouth
Preventing the fall
|
17. Nottingham Forest |
37 |
8 |
9 |
20 |
47 |
66 |
-19 |
29 |
|
18. Town of Luton |
37 |
6 |
8 |
23 |
50 |
81 |
-31 |
26 |
Although it may seem so, the battle against relegation is not technically over yet. While Sheffield United and Burnley are now back in the Championship, Luton Town and Nottingham Forest are fighting to avoid relegation. The scenario favors the latter thanks to the goal difference. Here’s a look at the relegation scenarios.
Nottingham Forest
- A win or draw against Burnley
- Losing to Burnley as long as they maintain their goal difference advantage over Luton Town
City of Luton
- Victory against Fulham, another Forest defeat to Burnley and overcoming the goal difference
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