2024 Memorial Tournament odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that’s nailed 12 majors

Memorial Tournament host Jack Nicklaus was concerned that the 2024 Memorial Tournament field might be weakened due to its placement before the US Open on the PGA Tour schedule, but those fears have been alleviated. Nine of the top 10 golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking have committed to play this week at Muirfield Village Golf Club. The 49th edition of the tournament begins on Thursday as one of eight unique events on the calendar. Reigning Masters champion and world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler has already won four tournaments this season and is the +360 favorite (risk $100 to win $360) in the 2024 Memorial Tournament odds.

Four-time major champion Rory McIlroy is second on the PGA odds board at +800, while 2024 PGA Championship winner Xander Schauffele is at +900. Which Golfers Should You Bet on in the 2024 Memorial Tournament? Before making any picks in the 2024 Memorial Tournament, be sure to see golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restart in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament .

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000. And at the 2024 PGA Championship, the model correctly classified Xander Schauffele’s first major win of the weekend.

The model also predicted that Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model scored the second major victory of Rahm’s career over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.

Additionally, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing at the top of the table 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic rankings.

This same model also hit 12 majors over the weekend, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.

Now that the 2024 Memorial Tournament field is finalized, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Memorial Tournament Predictions

One big surprise the model is waiting for at the 2024 Memorial Tournament: Collin Morikawa, who was two strokes off the lead before withdrawing last year, stumbles this week and narrowly misses the top five. Morikawa is winless in his first 13 tournaments in 2024 after taking just one victory in 25 events last year. He continues to advance and fight in most of his appearances, but has failed to cross the finish line.

In fact, he finished no better than T-3 (Masters) this season and missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament two years ago. He ranks outside the top 115 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting and driving distance, while also ranking 105th on greens in regulation percentage. The model doesn’t like the chance to break his winless drought this week, even though he is among the 2024 Memorial Tournament favorites at +1400. See who else will disappear here.

Another surprise: Justin Thomas, with a 25-1 chance, has a good campaign for the title. He has a much better chance of winning it all than his odds suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a big payday. Thomas has seven top-25 finishes in eight cuts made this year, posting four top-10 finishes. The most recent example came at the PGA Championship when he finished T-8 at 13 under in his home event.

Thomas has finished in the top 25 in three consecutive events, including a T-5 at the RBC Heritage in late April. The 31-year-old ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in both birdie average and strokes gained: approach to the green, giving him the tools to post a low score at Muirfield Village this week. Thomas has had top-10 finishes at this tournament during his career, one of which was a T-4 in 2017. See who else can return here.

How to make picks for the 2024 Memorial Tournament

The model also targets three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or better to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model choices here.

Who will win the 2024 Memorial Tournament and what odds will surprise the golf world? Check out the Memorial Tournament 2024 odds below and later visit SportsLine to see the projected Memorial Tournament leaderboardall from the model who has won 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship.

2024 Memorial Tournament odds, field

Get full 2024 Memorial Tournament picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +360
Rory McIlroy +800
Xander Schauffele +900
Collin Morikawa +1400
Viktor Hovland +1800
Ludvig Aberg +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Wyndham Clark +3500
Tommy Fleetwood +3500
Max Homa +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Sahith Theegala +4000
Jordan Spieth +4500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Byeong Hun An +5000
Tony Finau +5500
Sungjae Im +5500
Si Woo Kim +5500
Russell Henley +5500
Corey Conners +5500
Cameron Young +5500
Tom Kim +6000
Sam Burns +6000
Jason’s Day +6000
Sepp Straka +6500
Keegan Bradley +6500
Will Zalatoris +7000
Shane Lowry +7000
Billy Horschel +7000
Denny McCarthy +7500
Brian Harman +7500
Tom Hoge +8000
Harris English +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Christian Bezuidenhout +9000
Stephan Jaeger +10000
Robert MacIntyre +10000
Kurt Kitayama +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Mackenzie Hughes +11000
Lucas Glover +11000
Justin Rosa +11000
JT Poston +11000
Thomas Detry +13000
Taylor Moore +13000
Rickie Fowler +13000
Davis Thompson +13000
Chris Kirk +13000
Ben Griffin +13000
Austin Eckroat +15000
Taylor Pendrith +18000
Patrick Rodgers +18000
Andrew Putnam +18000
Adam Schenk +18000
Adam Hadwin +18000
Lee Hodges +20,000
Jake Knapp +20,000
Davis Riley +20000
Cam Davis +20000
Adam Svensson +20000
Victor Perez +25000
Seamus Power +25,000
Nick Taylor +25000
Nick Dunlap +25000
Mac Meissner +25000
Eric Cole +25000
Matthieu Pavón +30000
Chris Gotterup +30000
Brendon Todd +30000
Emiliano Grillo +35000
Matt Kuchar +40000
Pierceson Coody +60000
Pedro Malnati +60000
Jackson Koivun +100000
Brandt Snedeker +200,000