Blake Davis
More than a dozen former U.S. Open champions will be in the field at the 2024 U.S. Open, with play beginning Thursday, June 13, at Pinehurst No. 2. The 2024 U.S. Open will feature names like three-time champion Tiger Woods and two-time champion Brooks Koepka, as well as winners like Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth. However, one golfer still looking for his first victory at this major is Phil Mickelson. The six-time Major winner can clinch the career Grand Slam with a victory on the field at the 2024 US Open.
With no top 10 in the last decade in this event, Mickelson is a long shot at 150-1 at the 2024 US Open odds. Scottie Scheffler has yet to win this major but is the 4-1 favorite, with McIlroy following with 9-1. Xander Schauffele (10-1) and Jon Rahm (12-1) are among eight 2024 US Open golfers under 20-1, so this is expected to be a highly competitive tournament. Before locking in your 2024 US Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model has won nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scottie Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.
The model also predicted that Jon Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model scored the second major victory of Rahm’s career over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.
This same model also nailed 12 majors heading into the weekend, including three consecutive Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.
Now as the 2024 US Open approaches, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard for the 2024 US Open.
2024 US Open predictions for Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy
A shock that the model is asking for at the US Open 2024: Brooks Koepka (12-1), five-time major winner and US Open champion in 2017 and 2018, struggles and barely makes it into the top 10. Koepka has gone through peaks and valleys in majors throughout his career. He won four majors from 2017 to 2019 but fell in 2022, never finishing better than 55th in four majors before bouncing back with a runner-up finish and a win in 2023. However, he is in the midst of another slump and enters US in 2024. Open with three consecutive finishes outside the top 25 in majors.
Koepka has gone over par in eight of his last 11 rounds in the majors. He has struggled to put together a strong 18 holes and has not appeared in the top 10 of the leaderboard after any round in his last four major matches. His average finish of 38th place across these four majors simply doesn’t inspire much confidence to use it in your short US Open 2024 betting odds. See who else will disappear here.
The model also fixed its projection for Tiger Woods (125-1), a 15-time major winner. This will be Woods’ first US Open match since 2020, when he shot 10-over par and missed the cut. Since then, he has made six starts in the majors, making two cuts, missing two cuts and withdrawing twice. He missed the cut in his last start at the PGA Championship, but also noticed a physical improvement in how he felt, saying, “I need to clean up my rounds, but I also know physically, yes, I’m better than I was a month ago.”
With another month having passed since that comment, Woods should, theoretically, be in even better physical shape for the US Open. Its past success at Pinehurst should also bring optimism with two first-place finishes on the course when it hosted the U.S. Open in 1999 and 2005. It has been 10 years since Pinehurst No. 2 has hosted any PGA Tour event at either the U.S. Open 2024 course. will be competing for the first time. Woods’ experience on the course cannot be overlooked, so he will try to lean on that rather than his recent results in the specialties. See where each golfer finishes here.
On the other hand, the model examined Rory McIlroy’s (9-1) chances of winning his second US Open after winning in 2011. McIlroy has been on a roll in recent weeks, securing two wins in his last four matches. He also recorded a T-4 finish at the RBC Canadian Open earlier this month.
McIlroy was able to secure these positive results thanks to his effectiveness off the tee. The 35-year-old is second in total driving (41), second in distance covered (318.1) and third in strokes gained off the tee (0.861). He has been streaky with his putter in 2024, ranking 40th in strokes gained (.302) and 42nd in strokes per round (28.49). See the model’s full US Open projections here.
How to make picks at the 2024 US Open
The model targets three golfers with odds of 20-1 or better at the 2024 US Open who will make surprising runs. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model picks for the 2024 US Open here.
Who will win the 2024 US Open, which long shots will surprise the golf world and where will Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2024 US Open odds below and after visit SportsLine to see the projected 2024 US Open leaderboard, all from the model who has won 12 golf majorsincluding this year’s Masters and PGA Championship.
2024 US Open Odds, Field
See all the US Open 2024 picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Rory McIlroy 9-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Brooks Koepka 12-1
John Rahm 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Bryson DeChambeau 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Wyndham Clark 22-1
Joaquin Niemann 25-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Max Homa 30-1
Justin Thomas 33-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Dustin Johnson 35-1
Jordan Spieth 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Shane Lowry 40-1
Sahith Theegala 40-1
Tom Kim 40-1
Tony Finau 40-1
Sungjae I’m 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Jason Day 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam burns 60-1
Patrick Reed 60-1
Si Woo Kim 65-1
Justin Rosa 65-1
Sepp Straka 70-1
Louis Oosthuizen 75-1
Abraham Ancer 75-1
Rickie Fowler 75-1
Adam Scott 75-1
Talor Gooch 75-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Daniel Berger 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Ryan Fox 125-1
JT Poston 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Sergio Garcia 125-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Kurt Kitayama 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Myth Pereira 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Harris English 150-1
Christian Bezuidenhout 150-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Austin Eckroat 175-1
Robert MacIntyre 175-1
Marc Leishman 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Luke Glover 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Jason Kokrak 200-1
Harold Varner III 225-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Taylor Moore 250-1
Ben Kohles 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Aaron Sage 250-1
Francisco Molinari 350-1
Joel Dahmen 350-1
Martin Kaymer 500-1
Bernard Langer 750-1
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