Caleb Harris
There appear to be two potential outcomes for the Jets in 2024. Aaron Rodgers gets injured again and the season catches fire, or he makes an incredible comeback from an Achilles injury at age 40 and turns the Jets into a championship contender. There is no middle ground!
Here are 10 numbers to whet your appetite for Rodgers’ return.
0: Rodgers tore his Achilles tendon in last year’s opener after just four plays and one miss. He is only the second QB in NFL history with 0 completions in a season after starting the season opener. Who could forget the other?!? Joe Gasparella of Pittsburgh in 1951.
364: Barring another injury, Rodgers will go 364 days between games when he faces the 49ers on “Monday Night Football” on Sept. 9 to open the 2024 season. That’s a long layoff for anyone, but especially for someone in their 40s. The only 40-year-old with a longer gap since 1970 was Steve DeBerg (1,750 days from 1993-98).
12-22-1: If Rodgers gets hurt again, we expect a lot of losses. Rodgers’ reserves have a 12-22-1 record since his first start in 2008. The collective includes Brett Hundley, Matt Flynn, Scott Tolzien, Seneca Wallace, Jordan Love, Zach Wilson, Tim Boyle and Trevor Siemian. New York at least upgraded its backup QB spot with Tyrod Taylor for 2024.
18: Just a reminder of how terrible it was without Rodgers last year. The Jets had 18 offensive touchdowns, the fewest of any team in a season since the 2012 Chiefs.
1: You can count on a QB for the Jets’ ceiling in 2024. Tom Brady is the only QB with 30+ touchdown passes in a season at age 40 or older. He is also the only QB to win a Super Bowl after turning 40, and he did it twice.
25: There’s a big milestone on the horizon for Rodgers. He is 25 touchdown passes away from becoming the fifth QB to 500 in NFL history, joining Brady (649), Drew Brees (571), Peyton Manning (539) and Brett Favre (508).
1967: I’m sure the Jets would love to see him hit 500, or how about 4,000? The last Jets QB to throw for 4,000 yards in a season was the infamous Joe Namath in 1967. Only the Bears waited longer for a 4,000-yard passer. They have never had one in their 104 seasons.
25th: Rodgers could reach these milestones with improved protection in 2024. The Jets have three new OL starters (Morgan Moses, Tyron Smith and John Simpson) and they definitely need it. Rodgers ranked 25th in EPA per play when pressured from 2021-22, versus third when not. I explored this topic in more detail last month.
24-1: The Jets are still in the Super Bowl conversation, entering 2024 with the 11th-best odds at 24-1. They lost some luster in 2023, when they entered at a seventh-best 18-1.
13: At the very least, Jets fans should at least hope to end the longest active playoff drought in the NFL. They have gone 13 consecutive seasons without appearing in the playoffs, which is also tied with the Buffalo Sabers for the longest active drought in the NFL. NHL, NBA It is MLB.
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