Blake Davis
With the PGA Tour season moving toward its second major championship with the 2024 Masters now in play, the 2024 PGA Championship is just around the corner. Valhalla will host for the first time since 2014 and the fourth time in its history, as the world’s best golfers will come together to kick off the action on May 16.
You may not believe it, but Scottie Scheffler is the favorite. Scheffler has won four of his last five tournaments – including the Masters by four strokes – and has lost to just one other golfer since March 1. He earned $16.3 million in that period, the third-most in a single season, despite the 2024 campaign not reaching the halfway point.
Scheffler is now an impressive 7/2 favorite to win the PGA, which would put him halfway to the 2024 Grand Slam, a feat no one has ever achieved in a single season. In fact, Scheffler’s odds of achieving this are now an astonishing 40-1.
The closest anyone has come to a grand slam in recent years was in 2015, when Jordan Spieth won the first two majors, finished one shot in a playoff in the third and finished second in the fourth. It wouldn’t be surprising if Scheffler puts together a similar major championship season.
2024 PGA Championship Odds
- Scottie Scheffler: 7/2
- Rory McIlroy: 9-1
- John Rahm: 10-1
- Brooks Koepka: 16-1
- Viktor Hovland: 18-1
- Ludvig Aberg: 18-1
McIlroy won the PGA the last time it was at Valhalla, but that was 10 years ago when he won two majors in a row to claim Nos. 3 and 4 at age 25. A lot has happened since then, but McIlroy is still a tremendous player. . And while he hasn’t had the season he was hoping for or that his last two seasons foreshadowed, he’s still a threat here (although 9-1 is short). Koepka is the defending champion, as he and Hovland had a great battle last year at Oak Hill. Neither is playing as well this time around. Åberg is probably a better bet at 18-1 than either of them.
- Xander Schauffele: 20-1
- Patrick Cantlay: 20-1
- Colin Morikawa: 22-1
- Wyndham Clark: 25-1
- Jordan Spieth: 25-1
- Bryson DeChambeau: 25-1
- Will Zalatoris: 25-1
- Joaquín Niemann: 28-1
The interesting players here are Clark and DeChambeau at 25-1. The latter will be in the field after his best Masters appearance to date; he is apparently in great shape. The first is the current US Open champion, coming off an incredible year on the PGA Tour behind Scheffler. He’s also probably better suited to be a guy who attacks bombs and snatches, which is typically how the PGAs have been set up in recent years (as opposed to the Masters and Open Championship).
- Maximum Homa: 30-1
- Justin Thomas: 30-1
- Cameron Smith: 30-1
- Tony Finau: 35-1
- Hideki Matsuyama: 35-1
- Dustin Johnson: 35-1
- Rickie Fowler: 40-1
- Matt Fitzpatrick: 40-1
- Cameron Young: 40-1
- Tommy Fleetwood: 45-1
- Adam Scott: 80-1
- Tiger Forests: 100-1
- Sergio Garcia: 150-1
- Phil Mickelson: 150-1
Young intrigues me. An excellent important player, who should be able to decimate this golf course. He was good at the Masters and had a T3 at the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills. I wouldn’t love him at 20-1… but at 40-1? Absolutely.
