2024 RBC Canadian Open odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that’s nailed 12 majors

The 2024 RBC Canadian Open will begin on Thursday at Hamilton Golf Club and, for the first time since 1955, a Canadian citizen will return as defending champion. Nick Taylor won in a thrilling playoff against Tommy Fleetwood last season and now he will try to become the first Canadian to win the National Open in consecutive seasons. Taylor added a fourth PGA Tour victory earlier this season at the WM Phoenix Open and is 30th in the Official World Golf Ranking as he begins his title defense.

Taylor is listed at +7000 in the 2024 RBC Canadian Open odds and other Canadian prospects include Corey Conners (+2500), Mackenzie Hughes (+4500) and Adam Hadwin (+5500). Rory McIlroy won the RBC Canadian Open in 2019 and 2022 and is the +330 favorite in this week’s PGA odds. Before making any 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks, be sure to see golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restart in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament .

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000. And at the 2024 PGA Championship, the model correctly classified Xander Schauffele’s first major win of the weekend.

The model also predicted that Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model surpassed Rahm’s second major career win over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.

Additionally, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing at the top of the table 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic rankings.

This same model also hit 12 majors over the weekend, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.

Now that the field for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open is finalized, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top RBC Canadian Open Predictions for 2024

A big surprise the model is waiting for at the 2024 RBC Canadian Open: Fleetwood, who finished runner-up last year and has the second lowest odds this year, stumbles and narrowly misses the top five. Fleetwood has been eliminated in 114 of the 136 PGA Tour events he has played in, but is still looking for his first victory. He has been outside the top 10 in his last three tournaments this season, including a T49 finish at the RBC Heritage.

Fleetwood is outside the top 100 on the PGA Tour in distance traveled, GIR percentage and shots gained: approach to the green. He did not play in this event when it was hosted by Hamilton Golf Club in 2019, which puts him at a disadvantage against some of the other golfers in the field. The SportsLine model doesn’t like Fleetwood’s chances of finally getting a PGA Tour win this week. See who else will disappear here.

Another surprise: Sam Burns, with a 25-1 chance, has a good campaign for the title. He has a much better chance of winning it all than his odds suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a big payday. The 27-year-old is the 27th player in the world and the five-time PGA Tour champion is looking for his first victory in 2024 after winning at least once in each of the last three seasons.

Burns finished in the top 10 for the season and also finished in the top five at the 2022 Canadian Open. Known as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour, Burns enters the week ranked 51st in strokes gained: putting but he was ranked in the top 10 first in that category in each of the last three seasons. If he can turn things around with the flat stick while continuing to gain strokes against the field off the tee and on approach, he will be a serious threat this week in Hamilton. See who else can return here.

How to make picks at the 2024 RBC Canadian Open

The model also targets four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or better to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model choices here.

Who will win the 2024 RBC Canadian Open and what odds will surprise the golf world? Check out the RBC Canadian Open 2024 odds below and later visit SportsLine to see the projected RBC Canadian Open leaderboardall from the model who has won 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship.

2024 RBC Canadian Open Odds, Field

Get full 2024 RBC Canadian Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy +330
Tommy Fleetwood +1800
Sahith Theegala +2000
Shane Lowry +2200
Cameron Young +2200
Sam Burns +2500
Alex Noren +2500
Corey Conners +2500
Adam Scott +3000
Keith Mitchell +3500
Maverick McNealy +4000
Aaron Rai +4500
Mackenzie Hughes +4500
Akshay Bhatia +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Davis Thompson +5000
Erik van Rooyen +5500
Adam Hadwin +5500
Taylor Pendrith +6000
Kevin Yu +7000
Nick Taylor +7000
Matt Wallace +7500
Daniel Berger +7500
Doug Ghim +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Mark Hubbard +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Nicolai Hojgaard +8000
Robert MacIntyre +8000
Beau Hossler +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +9000
Davis Riley +9000
Thorbjorn Olesen +9000
Seamus Power +10000
Eric Cole +10000
Adam Svensson +10000
Sam Stevens +11000
Greyson Sigg +11000
KH Lee +11000
SH Kim +11000
Lucas List +11000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Andrew Novak +12000
Chan Kim +12,000
Jhonattan Vegas +12000
José Bramlett +12000
Nate Lashley +12000
Justin Lower +12,000
Victor Perez +12000
Michael Kim +12000
Bud Cauley +12000
Sam Ryder +15000
Mac Meissner +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
Kevin Tway +15000
Matti Schmid +15000
Ben Silverman +15000
Panoramic CT +15000
JJ Spaun +15000
Gary Woodland +15000