2024 U.S. Open odds, golf picks: Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy predictions from model that hit the Masters, PGA

June 10, 2024
8 mins read
2024 U.S. Open odds, golf picks: Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy predictions from model that hit the Masters, PGA



US Open 2024 week is here and many of the world’s best golfers will tee off at Pinehurst No. 2 on Thursday. This event uses special exemptions sparingly, making it one of the most difficult in the world to qualify for. Notable names like Joaquin Niemann, Adam Scott and Sergio Garcia didn’t even make the 2024 US Open field, which is a testament to the rigorous standards. Scottie Scheffler, fresh off his sixth victory of the season at the Memorial Tournament, headlines the list of 2024 U.S. Open golfers.

Scheffler is the 11-4 favorite in the 2024 US Open odds. Bryson DeChambeau has finished T6 and second in his last two majors and joins Rory McIlroy and PGA Championship winner Xander Schauffele at 10-1 in the 2024 US Open odds. PGA odds this week. Before locking in your 2024 US Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model has won nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scottie Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted that Jon Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model scored the second major victory of Rahm’s career over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.

This same model also nailed 12 majors heading into the weekend, including three consecutive Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.

Now as the 2024 US Open approaches, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard for the 2024 US Open.

2024 US Open predictions for Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy

A shock that the model is waiting for at the US Open 2024: Xander Schauffele (10-1), fresh from his first major win at the PGA Championship and one of this week’s main favorites, stumbles and narrowly misses the top five. There are better values ​​in this week’s PGA odds chart.

This victory was a huge blow in the back for one of the best players in the world, who had previously not won a major tournament. However, he has not finished better than T10 at the US Open since 2021 and has finished T10 or worse in nine of his last 11 majors. He also shot a 75 in the fourth round at The Memorial over the weekend, so the model found better value in the 2024 US Open field. See who else will disappear here.

The model also fixed its projection for Tiger Woods (125-1), a 15-time major winner. Woods has won the US Open three times in his career, most recently in 2008. His 15 major titles rank second only to Jack Nicklaus (18).

Woods is one of golf’s five career Grand Slam winners, but injuries have taken their toll on the 48-year-old. He had to withdraw from the Genesis Invitational in February and is coming off a loss at the PGA Championship in May. He was eliminated at the Masters in April, but shot 82 and 77 in the final two rounds to finish 60th. See where each golfer finishes here.

On the other hand, the model examined Rory McIlroy’s (9-1) chances of winning his second US Open after being victorious in 2011. McIlroy has accumulated 26 career victories on the PGA Tour and has won two of his last four starts before for the Memorial Tournament. One of those victories came at the Zurich Classic, the PGA Tour’s only team event.

McIlroy secured a runner-up finish at the US Open in 2023, but has not won a major since 2014, when he won the PGA Championship and Open Championship. He secured a T-12 at the PGA Championship in May, but his game appears to be taking shape heading into the 2024 US Open. McIlroy ranks second in driving distance (318.1), third in strokes gained: out of tee (0.861) and third in strokes gained: total (1.723). He also ranks 12th in scoring average (69.42) and 14th in birdie average (4.35). See the model’s full US Open projections here.

How to make picks at the 2024 US Open

The model targets three golfers with odds of 20-1 or better at the 2024 US Open who will make surprising runs. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model picks for the 2024 US Open here.

Who will win the 2024 US Open, which long shots will surprise the golf world and where will Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2024 US Open odds below and after visit SportsLine to see the projected 2024 US Open leaderboard, all from the model who has won 12 golf majorsincluding this year’s Masters and PGA Championship.

2024 US Open Odds, Field

See all the US Open 2024 picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 11-4
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
John Rahm 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 28-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Tom Kim 45-1
Tony Finau 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Sungjae I’m 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Si Woo Kim 55-1
Will Zalatoris 55-1
Shane Lowry 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam burns 60-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Byeong-Hun An 70-1
Brian Harman 75-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Sepp Straka 90-1
Stephan Jaeger 90-1
David Puig 90-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Adrian Meronk 90-1
Jake Knapp 100-1
Justin Rosa 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 100-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Eric Cole 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Tom McKibbin 125-1
Akshay Bhatia 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Christian Bezuidenhout 125-1
Austin Eckroat 150-1
Victor Pérez 150-1
Taylor Pendrith 150-1
Daniel Berger 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Cameron Davis 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Taylor Moore 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Eugênio Chacarra 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Rikuya Hoshino 200-1
JT Poston 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Luke Glover 200-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Grant Forrest 225-1
Adam Svensson 225-1
Davis Thompson 225-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Brand Hubbard 250-1
Matthieu Pavón 250-1
Richard Mansell 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Greyson Sigg 250-1
Ben Kohles 300-1
Brendon Todd 300-1
Tim Enlargement 300-1
Sam Bairstow 300-1
Pedro Malnati 300-1
Sam Bennet 300-1
Matteo Manassero 300-1
Gordon Sargent 300-1
Jason Scrivener 300-1
Justin Bottom 350-1
Casey Jarvis 350-1
Chesson Hadley 350-1
Nicolás Echavarría 350-1
Nick Dunlap 350-1
Zac Blair 350-1
Frankie Capan III 400-1
Max Greyserman 400-1
Matt Kuchar 400-1
SH Kim 400-1
Robert Rocha 400-1
Chris Petefish 400-1
Rico Hoey 400-1
Wells Williams 500-1
Sung Kang 500-1
Carlos Reiter 500-1
Federik Kjettrup 500-1
Ashton McCulloch 500-1
Ryo Ishikawa 500-1
Isaiah Salinda 500-1
McClure Meissner 500-1
Brandon Wu 500-1
Jackson Buchanan 500-1
Michael McGowan 500-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Brian Campbell 500-1
Logan McAllister 500-1
Carson Schaake 500-1
João Queixo 500-1
Benjamin James 500-1
Omar Morales 500-1
Lucas Clanton 500-1
Neal Shipley 500-1
Gunnar Broin 500-1
Stewart Hagestad 500-1
Carter Jenkins 500-1
Francisco Molinari 500-1
Brandon Robinson Thompson 500-1
Taisei Shimizu 500-1
Chris Naegel 500-1
Willie Mack III 500-1
Hiroshi Tai 500-1
Parker Bell 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Colin Prater 500-1
Andrew Svoboda 500-1
Bryan Kim 500-1
Santiago De La Fonte 500-1
Riki Kawamoto 500-1
Joey Vrzich 500-1
Eduardo Molinari 500-1
Martin Kaymer 750-1





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