Blake Davis
The two best players in the world have captured the first two major championships of the 2024 season. Scottie Scheffler overcame a congested leaderboard on Sunday at the Masters and donned his second green jacket, while Xander Schauffele survived a star-studded leaderboard in Valhalla to enter golf immortality.
This raises the question ahead of the 2024 US Open: Will the third major of the year belong to the third best player?
Well, batting in that part of the lineup from now on is world number 3, Rory McIlroy. The four-time major champion is approaching the 10-year anniversary of his last major triumph and hopes to emerge from the situation when the US Open returns to No. 2 Pinehurst for the first time in a decade. It was that summer that McIlroy scored victories at The Open and PGA Championship, but the 35-year-old has been sidelined ever since.
McIlroy almost kicked down the door at last year’s US Open, but ended up losing a stroke to Wyndham Clark. The defending champion endured a turbulent year with a victory at Pebble Beach and runner-up finishes at the Players Championship and the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but he also bowed out early in both of the first two majors.
If the good version of Clark shows up at Pinehurst, he could threaten to become the first back-to-back champion since Brooks Koepka. A five-time major winner, Koepka aims to add a third US Open trophy to his mantle and put his name on the list of the greatest winners of all time.
Collin Morikawa is seeking his third major championship and his first US Open. A win at Pinehurst would represent the third step of a career Grand Slam and create an opportunity to join golf’s most exclusive club next spring at Augusta National. Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau and Viktor Hovland round out the notable names at the top of the odds board who are likely to play a role in this week’s championship.
2024 US Open Odds, Favorites
It’s Scottie’s world, and everyone else lives in it. Claiming the Memorial last week for his fifth victory of the season – all in his last eight tournaments – the world No. 1 fell below the 3-1 price we are used to seeing him hold. Pick a statistical category and he’ll probably lead it. Pick an ideal field for him and you’ll probably pick Pinehurst No. 2. Pick a player with not just the physical tools but also the mental toughness to endure a historic run like this and pick another major along the way and you’ll land on Scheffler .
- Rory McIlroy: 10-1
- Xander Schauffele: 12-1
- Colin Morikawa: 16-1
- Bryson DeChambeau: 18-1
- Viktor Hovland: 18-1
- Brooks Koepka: 22-1
- Ludvig Aberg: 22-1
- John Rahm: 25-1
After Scheffler, there are no other players in single digits and only eight south of 30-1. They include all the big-name contenders who would be expected to chase the world No. 1. McIlroy’s US Open record has been excellent lately, with five consecutive top-10 finishes, and Schauffele boasts a similar resume, with seven top-15 finishes in as many matches. Koepka has two trophies to highlight this crowd, but it is his league teammate Rahm who is most intriguing. Withdrawing from LIV Golf Houston last week, the 2021 champion arrives with some question marks over his status and his game as his name continues to move down the odds board.
- Cameron Smith: 35-1
- Tommy Fleetwood: 35-1
- Justin Thomas: 40-1
- Patrick Cantlay: 45-1
- Maximum Homa: 50-1
- Matt Fitzpatrick: 55-1
- Tyrrell Hatton: 55-1
- Hideki Matsuyama: 55-1
- Shane Lowry: 60-1
- Tom Kim: 60-1
- Jordan Spieth: 60-1
- Tony Finau: 65-1
- Wyndham Clark: 70-1
- Sahith Theegala: 70-1
- Min Woo Lee: 75-1
- Corey Conners: 75-1
- Will Zalatoris: 75-1
- Sam Burns: 75-1
Speaking of question marks, this group of players is full of them. Smith just shot an 80 to close out LIV Golf Houston. Lowry posted 85 at Memorial. Spieth hasn’t considered a tournament since February. Clark missed the cut at the Masters, PGA Championship and Memorial last week. And then there’s Patrick Cantlay, who can’t seem to find his game. If there is a name to go around, Matsuyama could be the one, as he has the iron play and short game to make some noise in this tournament.
- Keegan Bradley: 80-1
- Jason Day: 90-1
- Cameron Young: 90-1
- Sepp Straka: 90-1
- Dustin Johnson: 90-1
- Byeong Hun An: 90-1
- Russell Henley: 100-1
- Denny McCarthy: 110-1
- Dean Burmester: 110-1
- Si Woo Kim: 110-1
- Sungjae Im: 110-1
- Justin Rosa: 110-1
There are few names that jump off the page here, with Straka attracting the most interest. He comes into the US Open with consecutive top-five finishes and a world of trust behind him. The great Austrian has been in contention before at the PGA Championship and The Open, but the US Open was a different story, with two consecutive missed cuts. Pinehurst could be the perfect location for him, and the same goes for Day. A top-five finisher at the 2014 US Open, the former world No. 1 will need to take a step up in his approach to the game if he is to surprise, but this is not outside the realm of possibility.
- Brian Harman: 150-1
- Alex Noren: 150-1
- Harris English: 170-1
- Billy Horschel: 170-1
- Christian Bezuidenhout: 170-1
- Thomas Detry: 200-1
- Rickie Fowler: 200-1
- Adam Hadwin: 200-1
- Ryan Fox: 200-1
- Tom Hoge: 220-1
- Kurt Kitayama: 220-1
- Akshay Bhatia: 220-1
- Erik van Rooyen: 250-1
- Aaron Rai: 270-1
- Stephan Jaeger: 270-1
Who will win the US Open and what odds will surprise the golf world? Visit SportsLine to see the projected US Open leaderboardall from the model who has won 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship.
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