2024 U.S. Open odds, predictions, picks: Scottie Scheffler projection by golf model that hit last two majors

Just five golfers enter the 2024 U.S. Open with multiple major wins since 2017, but one stands head and shoulders above the rest. Brooks Koepka has won five majors in this span, while Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas have two wins each. The 2024 U.S. Open begins Thursday at Pinehurst No. 2, and Koepka is looking to become the seventh golfer with three wins at this major. Half of his 10 US Open starts have resulted in top-five finishes, including a fourth-place finish at Pinehurst in 2014. Despite all that, Koepka is a long shot at 20-1, according to US Open odds. United States of 2024.

There are seven golfers in the 2024 U.S. Open field more favored than him, including Scheffler (11-4), Xander Schauffele (10-1) and Bryson DeChambeau (10-1). Rory McIlroy, who hasn’t won a major in nearly a decade, is also among those with 10-1 golf odds. Before securing your 2024 US Open picks or Scottie Scheffler accessories, be sure to see golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model has won nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scottie Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted that Jon Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model surpassed Rahm’s second major career win over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.

This same model also nailed 12 majors heading into the weekend, including three consecutive Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.

Now with the US Open 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results were surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top US Open Predictions for 2024

A big surprise: Justin Thomas, with a 35-1 chance, has a good campaign for the title. He is a target for anyone looking for a big payday. The 15-time PGA winner has been a make-or-break player this year. He missed the cut at the Masters, the Players Championship and the Genesis Invitational. However, he had strong top-10 showings at the RBC Heritage, PGA Championship, American Express and Pebble Beach.

Overall, he took a big step forward this year after finishing 2023 with five missed cuts in his last 10 events. The model likes its edge because it ranks 13th on tour in total strokes gained and is in the top 10 in strokes gained from tee to green (fourth) and approaching the green (seventh). With such high odds, it’s worth including Thomas in your 2024 US Open bets.

The model also examined where Scottie Scheffler ends up. Scheffler enters this event with a type of racing that hasn’t been seen in decades. He is the first golfer with five wins in a PGA Tour season before the U.S. Open since Tom Watson in 1980. One of those came last week at the Memorial, which could be a sign of momentum as well as a reason for which many will fade it. your bets on the 2024 US Open. This is the 109th season of the PGA Tour, and no golfer has ever won on tour and then won the US Open in consecutive weeks.

For all his dominance, it’s easy to forget that Scheffler only excelled in one specialization, the Masters. He went 0-for-14 in the other three majors and only placed in the top 25 in half of his six US Open starts. The two-time Masters champion will look to translate his historic success on tour into the third major of the year, as his performance will undoubtedly be the main storyline at the 2024 US Open. The model just wrapped up her Scottie Scheffler picks at the US Open here..

How to make picks at the 2024 US Open

The model also targets two other golfers with odds of 20-1 or better to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model choices here.

Who will win the 2024 US Open and what odds will surprise the golf world? Check out the US Open 2024 odds below and then Visit SportsLine to see the projected U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that has won 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the PGA Championship.

2024 US Open Odds, Field

Get full 2024 US Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 11-4
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
John Rahm 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 28-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Tom Kim 45-1
Tony Finau 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Sungjae I’m 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Si Woo Kim 55-1
Will Zalatoris 55-1
Shane Lowry 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam burns 60-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Byeong-Hun An 70-1
Brian Harman 75-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Sepp Straka 90-1
Stephan Jaeger 90-1
David Puig 90-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Adrian Meronk 90-1
Jake Knapp 100-1
Justin Rosa 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 100-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Eric Cole 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Tom McKibbin 125-1
Akshay Bhatia 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Christian Bezuidenhout 125-1
Austin Eckroat 150-1
Victor Pérez 150-1
Taylor Pendrith 150-1
Daniel Berger 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Cameron Davis 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Taylor Moore 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Eugênio Chacarra 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Rikuya Hoshino 200-1
JT Poston 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Luke Glover 200-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Grant Forrest 225-1
Adam Svensson 225-1
Davis Thompson 225-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Brand Hubbard 250-1
Matthieu Pavón 250-1
Richard Mansell 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Greyson Sigg 250-1
Ben Kohles 300-1
Brendon Todd 300-1
Tim Enlargement 300-1
Sam Bairstow 300-1
Pedro Malnati 300-1
Sam Bennet 300-1
Matteo Manassero 300-1
Gordon Sargent 300-1
Jason Scrivener 300-1
Justin Bottom 350-1
Casey Jarvis 350-1
Chesson Hadley 350-1
Nicolás Echavarría 350-1
Nick Dunlap 350-1
Zac Blair 350-1
Frankie Capan III 400-1
Max Greyserman 400-1
Matt Kuchar 400-1
SH Kim 400-1
Robert Rocha 400-1
Chris Petefish 400-1
Rico Hoey 400-1
Wells Williams 500-1
Sung Kang 500-1
Carlos Reiter 500-1
Federik Kjettrup 500-1
Ashton McCulloch 500-1
Ryo Ishikawa 500-1
Isaiah Salinda 500-1
McClure Meissner 500-1
Brandon Wu 500-1
Jackson Buchanan 500-1
Michael McGowan 500-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Brian Campbell 500-1
Logan McAllister 500-1
Carson Schaake 500-1
João Queixo 500-1
Benjamin James 500-1
Omar Morales 500-1
Lucas Clanton 500-1
Neal Shipley 500-1
Gunnar Broin 500-1
Stewart Hagestad 500-1
Carter Jenkins 500-1
Francisco Molinari 500-1
Brandon Robinson Thompson 500-1
Taisei Shimizu 500-1
Chris Naegel 500-1
Willie Mack III 500-1
Hiroshi Tai 500-1
Parker Bell 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Colin Prater 500-1
Andrew Svoboda 500-1
Bryan Kim 500-1
Santiago De La Fonte 500-1
Riki Kawamoto 500-1
Joey Vrzich 500-1
Eduardo Molinari 500-1
Martin Kaymer 750-1