2024 U.S. Open odds, golf picks: Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy predictions by model that hit the Masters, PGA

The 2024 US Open field contains 156 players, but only one can clinch the career Grand Slam with a victory. Phil Mickelson has achieved a record six runner-up finishes in the main tournament, but finally capturing the 2024 US Open title would make him only the sixth golfer in the modern era to complete a career Grand Slam. However, since his last runner-up finish in 2013, Mickelson has not recorded a top 25 in this event. Other players with multiple major wins looking to win the US Open for the first time include Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas. Mickelson is one of several notable golfers who have strong odds of 125-1 according to the latest 2024 US Open odds.

Tiger Woods and Rickie Fowler are also 125-1 heading into Thursday’s matches at Pinehurst No. 2. Scheffler is the 11-4 favorite, followed by Rory McIlroy (10-1) and Xander Schauffele (10-1). Before locking in your 2024 US Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model has won nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scottie Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted that Jon Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model scored the second major victory of Rahm’s career over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.

This same model also nailed 12 majors heading into the weekend, including three consecutive Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Anyone who followed it saw massive returns.

Now as the 2024 US Open approaches, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard for the 2024 US Open.

2024 US Open predictions for Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy

A shock the model is waiting for at the 2024 US Open: Xander Schauffele (10-1), fresh from his first major victory at the PGA Championship and one of this week’s main favorites, stumbles and narrowly breaks into the top five. There are better values ​​in this week’s PGA odds chart.

Schauffele has had nothing but success at the US Open, with seven top 25 finishes in seven matches. However, none of those appearances came at Pinehurst No. 2. The course, with its firm fairways and fading greens, looks more like a links course that is seen at the British Open. Two of Pinehurst’s biggest competitions are Royal Liverpool and Royal Portrush, and Schauffele finished 17th and 41st respectively at those venues.

If there’s a weak point in Schauffele’s game it’s his driver, who is outside the top 25 in distance and accuracy. Additionally, he ranks 173rd in total driving efficiency, and Pinehurst heavily penalizes throws that don’t hit the field. Additionally, backtracking in majors is extremely rare, as Jordan Spieth in 2015 was the last to do so. Given this, and his extremely short odds, Schauffele will disappear from US Open 2024 betting. See who else will disappear here.

The model also fixed its projection for Tiger Woods (125-1), a 15-time major winner. Woods has recorded 15 major wins, behind Jack Nicklaus’ 18. With lingering health issues, Woods has not recorded a top 10 finish at the US Open since 2010, however.

The 48-year-old is easily the most recognized player of his generation and therefore could attract bets from those hoping he can turn back the clock. After all, Phil Mickelson won the 2021 PGA Championship at age 50. For golf fans everywhere, watching Woods play four rounds of competitive play would be a highlight of their U.S. Open-watching experience. See where each golfer finishes here.

On the other hand, the model examined Rory McIlroy’s odds (10-1) of winning his second US Open after being victorious in 2011. The four-time major winner has been seeking his fifth major title in a decade and missed the cut three times in a row at the 2016-18 US Open. However, he has racked up five consecutive top-10 finishes since then, including a runner-up finish last year.

He has more top-10 finishes (8) at the US Open and PGA Championship than the other two majors, but has been eliminated (10) fewer times at the US Open than the other three majors. The world No. 3 has two wins this season, taking home the title at the Zurich Classic New Orleans and the Wells Fargo Championship in back-to-back events. He enters the 2024 US Open with five consecutive top-15 finishes this season as he looks to overcome his long drought of major titles. See the model’s full US Open projections here.

How to make picks at the 2024 US Open

The model targets three golfers with odds of 20-1 or better at the 2024 US Open who will make surprising runs. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model picks for the 2024 US Open here.

Who will win the 2024 US Open, which long shots will surprise the golf world and where will Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2024 US Open odds below and after visit SportsLine to see the projected 2024 US Open leaderboard, all from the model who has won 12 golf majorsincluding this year’s Masters and PGA Championship.

2024 US Open Odds, Field

See all the US Open 2024 picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 11-4
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 28-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Tom Kim 45-1
Tony Finau 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Sungjae I’m 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Si Woo Kim 55-1
Will Zalatoris 55-1
Shane Lowry 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam burns 60-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Byeong-Hun An 70-1
Brian Harman 75-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Sepp Straka 90-1
Stephan Jaeger 90-1
David Puig 90-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Adrian Meronk 90-1
Jake Knapp 100-1
Justin Rosa 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 100-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Eric Cole 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Tom McKibbin 125-1
Akshay Bhatia 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Christian Bezuidenhout 125-1
Austin Eckroat 150-1
Victor Pérez 150-1
Taylor Pendrith 150-1
Daniel Berger 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Cameron Davis 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Taylor Moore 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Eugênio Chacarra 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Rikuya Hoshino 200-1
JT Poston 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Luke Glover 200-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Grant Forrest 225-1
Adam Svensson 225-1
Davis Thompson 225-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Brand Hubbard 250-1
Matthieu Pavón 250-1
Richard Mansell 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Greyson Sigg 250-1
Ben Kohles 300-1
Brendon Todd 300-1
Tim Enlargement 300-1
Sam Bairstow 300-1
Pedro Malnati 300-1
Sam Bennet 300-1
Matteo Manassero 300-1
Gordon Sargent 300-1
Jason Scrivener 300-1
Justin Bottom 350-1
Casey Jarvis 350-1
Chesson Hadley 350-1
Nicolás Echavarría 350-1
Nick Dunlap 350-1
Zac Blair 350-1
Frankie Capan III 400-1
Max Greyserman 400-1
Matt Kuchar 400-1
SH Kim 400-1
Robert Rocha 400-1
Chris Petefish 400-1
Rico Hoey 400-1
Wells Williams 500-1
Sung Kang 500-1
Carlos Reiter 500-1
Federik Kjettrup 500-1
Ashton McCulloch 500-1
Ryo Ishikawa 500-1
Isaiah Salinda 500-1
McClure Meissner 500-1
Brandon Wu 500-1
Jackson Buchanan 500-1
Michael McGowan 500-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Brian Campbell 500-1
Logan McAllister 500-1
Carson Schaake 500-1
João Queixo 500-1
Benjamin James 500-1
Omar Morales 500-1
Lucas Clanton 500-1
Neal Shipley 500-1
Gunnar Broin 500-1
Stewart Hagestad 500-1
Carter Jenkins 500-1
Francisco Molinari 500-1
Brandon Robinson Thompson 500-1
Taisei Shimizu 500-1
Chris Naegel 500-1
Willie Mack III 500-1
Hiroshi Tai 500-1
Parker Bell 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Colin Prater 500-1
Andrew Svoboda 500-1
Bryan Kim 500-1
Santiago De La Fonte 500-1
Riki Kawamoto 500-1
Joey Vrzich 500-1
Eduardo Molinari 500-1
Martin Kaymer 750-1