2024 U.S. Open picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by PGA golf model that’s hit 12 majors

Justin Thomas hopes his past experience at Pinehurst No. 2 leads to success at the 2024 U.S. Open. The Kentucky native first saw the tough North Carolina course as a 21-year-old at the 2014 U.S. Open, a year after turning pro. Since then, Thomas has won 15 career events, including two major victories. He is coming off a T8 at the PGA Championship and hopes his current form will help him in a competitive 2024 US Open field. Thomas is 35-1 in the latest 2024 US Open odds, while world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler , is the 11-4 favorite.

Should you bet on an unlikely bettor like Thomas, or is choosing one of the 2024 US Open contenders like Scheffler a safer bet? Before securing any 2024 US Open picks, entering PGA DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or finalizing US Open props and US Open Pick 6 or PrizePicks entries, be sure to see the 2024 US Open golf predictions and projected leaderboard from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on a roll since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model has won nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, winning tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted that Scheffler would finish atop the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit +9,000, and throughout the tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted that Rahm would be victorious in the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model scored the second major victory of Rahm’s career over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead in the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive victory at the Masters, which also guaranteed Scheffler’s victory in 2022.

This same model also nailed 12 majors heading into the weekend, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship. Those who have already followed are in high demand.

Now with the US Open 2024 approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results were surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top US Open Predictions for 2024

A big surprise the model awaits at the 2024 US Open: Xander Schauffele, one of the main favorites and the most recent big winner of the PGA Championship, stumbles and narrowly misses the top five. Schauffele finally scored his first major victory in 28 tries by defeating Bryson DeChambeau and Viktor Hovland at Valhalla in May.

This has elevated him in the PGA odds, as he is now the co-second favorite in the 2024 US Open odds. However, his overall record does not justify that type of status, as he only has three top-five finishes in majors since 2019. He was also shaky at The Memorial over the weekend, shooting two rounds of 73 or better to fall out. containment. The model found better values ​​to use in betting on the 2024 US Open. See who else will disappear here.

Another surprise: Brooks Koepka, with a 35-1 chance, has a good campaign for the title. He has a much better chance of winning than his long odds suggest, so he is a target for anyone looking for a big payout. The 2023 PGA Championship winner likes to elevate his game at big events, especially the US Open. Koepka is the last golfer to successfully defend a US Open title, winning the third major of the season in 2017 and again in 2018.

Koepka has also played well at No. 2 Pinehurst in the past, finishing T4 when the US Open was last held there in 2014. The 34-year-old has not finished in the top 20 at the Masters or PGA Championship this year, but his experience at Pinehurst and his great previous success give him a better chance of winning than his long odds imply. See who else can return here.

How to make picks at the 2024 US Open

The model also targets two other golfers with odds of 20-1 or better to make a strong run at the title. Also target two triple-digit long shots on your best bets. Anyone who supports these longshot hypotheses could hit big. You can only see the model choices here.

Who will win the 2024 US Open and what odds will surprise the golf world? Check out the US Open 2024 odds below and then Visit SportsLine to see the projected U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that has won 12 golf majors, including the last three Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship.

2024 US Open Odds, Field

Get full 2024 US Open picks, best bets and predictions here

Scottie Scheffler 11-4
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Viktor Hovland 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 28-1
Wyndham Clark 33-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Dustin Johnson 40-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Sahith Theegala 45-1
Tom Kim 45-1
Tony Finau 45-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Jason Day 45-1
Sungjae I’m 50-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Si Woo Kim 55-1
Will Zalatoris 55-1
Shane Lowry 60-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Sam burns 60-1
Dean Burmester 60-1
Keegan Bradley 60-1
Byeong-Hun An 70-1
Brian Harman 75-1
Patrick Reed 80-1
Sepp Straka 90-1
Stephan Jaeger 90-1
David Puig 90-1
Russell Henley 90-1
Adrian Meronk 90-1
Jake Knapp 100-1
Justin Rosa 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Nicolai Hojgaard 100-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Eric Cole 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Tom McKibbin 125-1
Akshay Bhatia 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Christian Bezuidenhout 125-1
Austin Eckroat 150-1
Victor Pérez 150-1
Taylor Pendrith 150-1
Daniel Berger 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Cameron Davis 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 175-1
Taylor Moore 175-1
Ryan Fox 175-1
Tom Hoge 175-1
Harris English 175-1
Eugênio Chacarra 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Adam Hadwin 175-1
Erik Van Rooyen 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Rikuya Hoshino 200-1
JT Poston 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Luke Glover 200-1
Seamus Power 225-1
Grant Forrest 225-1
Adam Svensson 225-1
Davis Thompson 225-1
Harry Higgs 250-1
Gary Woodland 250-1
Brand Hubbard 250-1
Matthieu Pavón 250-1
Richard Mansell 250-1
Webb Simpson 250-1
Greyson Sigg 250-1
Ben Kohles 300-1
Brendon Todd 300-1
Tim Enlargement 300-1
Sam Bairstow 300-1
Pedro Malnati 300-1
Sam Bennet 300-1
Matteo Manassero 300-1
Gordon Sargent 300-1
Jason Scrivener 300-1
Justin Bottom 350-1
Casey Jarvis 350-1
Chesson Hadley 350-1
Nicolás Echavarría 350-1
Nick Dunlap 350-1
Zac Blair 350-1
Frankie Capan III 400-1
Max Greyserman 400-1
Matt Kuchar 400-1
SH Kim 400-1
Robert Rocha 400-1
Chris Petefish 400-1
Rico Hoey 400-1
Wells Williams 500-1
Sung Kang 500-1
Carlos Reiter 500-1
Federik Kjettrup 500-1
Ashton McCulloch 500-1
Ryo Ishikawa 500-1
Isaiah Salinda 500-1
McClure Meissner 500-1
Brandon Wu 500-1
Jackson Buchanan 500-1
Michael McGowan 500-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Brian Campbell 500-1
Logan McAllister 500-1
Carson Schaake 500-1
João Queixo 500-1
Benjamin James 500-1
Omar Morales 500-1
Lucas Clanton 500-1
Neal Shipley 500-1
Gunnar Broin 500-1
Stewart Hagestad 500-1
Carter Jenkins 500-1
Francisco Molinari 500-1
Brandon Robinson Thompson 500-1
Taisei Shimizu 500-1
Chris Naegel 500-1
Willie Mack III 500-1
Hiroshi Tai 500-1
Parker Bell 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Colin Prater 500-1
Andrew Svoboda 500-1
Bryan Kim 500-1
Santiago De La Fonte 500-1
Riki Kawamoto 500-1
Joey Vrzich 500-1
Eduardo Molinari 500-1
Martin Kaymer 750-1