Brendan Miller
Islam Makhachev will defend his lightweight belt for the third time on Saturday against iconic veteran Dustin Poirier in the main event of UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier. The five-round clash will anchor the UFC 302 main fight card, beginning at 10 p.m. ET at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. It will be Makhachev’s first title defense against a true lightweight. His two previous title defenses were against Alexander Volkanovski, the former featherweight champion who moved up a weight class in an attempt to become a two-division champion. The No. 4-ranked Poirier is a two-time title challenger who has yet to win the undisputed title. He earned another title shot on the strength of his upset with rising contender Benoit Saint Denis in March.
Makhachev is a -625 favorite (risk $625 to win $100), while Poirier is a +450 underdog in the latest UFC 302: Makhachev vs. UFC odds. In the co-main event, former middleweight champion Sean Strickland (-240) faces the robust Paulo Costa (+200). Before securing your picks for UFC 302: Makhachev x Poirier, Be sure to check out SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani’s MMA predictions and betting advice.
From analyzing film and closely following fighters and their camps, to tracking sharp action and betting market signals, Vithlani covers the entire breadth of the MMA betting landscape, from top to bottom. He also trains amateur boxers and regularly talks to MMA fighters to understand the nuances of the sport.
Vithlani made his SportsLine debut in January 2023 and swept the UFC 283 main card with a 5-0 record and has been a consistent winner ever since. Over the last 11 UFC pay-per-view events, Vithlani has a 7-4 record on main event picks and his main card picks in that span have netted his followers a profit of more than $1,200.
His highlights include an upset for Sean O’Malley (+210) against Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292 as part of a 4-1 main card and his UFC 299 winners included underdog picks in Poirier (+190). against Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130). Anyone who followed him saw massive returns.
Now, with UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier on deck, Vithlani has studied the card from top to bottom and released his top selections. You can only see these picks on SportsLine.
UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier preview
Makhachev (25-1) is currently No. 1 in the UFC’s pound-for-pound fighter rankings. He hasn’t lost in nearly nine years and brings a 13-fight winning streak into the main event of UFC 302 on Saturday. However, his star power thus far has been relatively limited for a fighter who appears to have the potential to be one of the promotion’s most dominant champions in recent memory.
This is largely due to the fact that Makhachev maintains a modest public profile, but has also displayed a somewhat abrasive disposition towards his fellow fighters and the media. Still, even his most ardent critics cannot deny that Makhachev has earned his status as an elite UFC champion.
The 32-year-old Dagestan native is a known prodigy for former undefeated lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov, who is Makhachev’s main coach and mentor.
Makhachev is a heavy favorite against Poirier (30-8-1), the 11-year UFC veteran and one of the most popular fighters on the UFC roster. Poirier’s extensive resume includes two knockout wins over Conor McGregor, two wins over former featherweight champion Max Holloway and a 1-1 split with Justin Gaethje.
However, his two title fights resulted in submission losses to Nurmagomedov and Charles Oliveira. Still, his comeback win against the highly regarded Saint Denis, who finished as a more than 2/1 favorite, showed that the 35-year-old Louisiana native is still among the UFC’s elite. You can see more UFC 302 picks at SportsLine.
Top UFC 302 Predictions
We’ll share one of Vithlani’s UFC 302 selections here: he’s paired with Alex Morono (-235) to overcome Niko Price (+195) in a fight between veteran welterweights.
Morono (24-9-1) is an eight-year UFC veteran who is known as a polished tactician in all aspects of MMA. He is also a successful and revered MMA trainer when he is not training for his own fights. The 33-year-old Texan is coming off a decision win against Court McGee in April.
Price (15-7-2) is a seven-year UFC veteran who is a fan favorite because of his penchant for wild brawls that involve non-stop action from the opening bell. But the 34-year-old Florida native has just one win in his last four starts.
“Price’s action style has taken its toll, and at this point he’s very attainable,” Vithlani told SportsLine. You can see more UFC 302 picks at SportsLine.
How to make choices in UFC 302
Vithlani also has strong picks for Makhachev vs. Poirier and other fights on the UFC 302 card. He is also backing a fighter who “has a granite chin and lethal body kicks” to emerge with a dominant victory. These picks and analysis are only available on SportsLine.
Who wins UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier, and how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now for in-depth UFC 302 picks, all from the MMA expert who cashed in more than $1,500 on his UFC main card picksand find out.
UFC 302 odds, fight card
See full UFC 302 picks, predictions and best bets here.
Islam Makhachev (-625) vs. Dustin Poirier (+450)
Sean Strickland (-240) x Paulo Costa (+200)
Kevin Holland (-260) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (+210)
Jailton Almeida (-260) x Alexandr Romanov (+210)
Randy Brown (-180) x Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (+155)
César Almeida (-120) x Roman Kopylov (+100)
Grant Dawson (-400) vs.
Jake Matthews (-160) vs.
Alex Morono (-240) vs. Niko Price (+200)
Bassil Hafez (-330) vs.
Ailin Perez (-200) vs.
André Lima (-250) x Mitch Raposo (+205)
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