Brendan Miller
Dustin Poirier says the only prize missing from his storied career is an undisputed title, and the veteran lightweight challenger aims to fill that gap on Saturday when he challenges champion Islam Makhachev in the main event of UFC 302. The five-round clash will be the anchor of the UFC 302 main fight card beginning at 10pm ET at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. Poirier, ranked number 4, is a former interim champion who lost twice in the undisputed title fight. His third chance will be on Saturday, against Makhachev, who has won 13 consecutive fights in the UFC and has what it takes to be a dominant champion in the long term.
Makhachev is a -625 favorite (risk $625 to win $100), while Poirier comes back at +450 in the latest UFC 302: Makhachev vs. UFC odds. In the co-main event, former middleweight champion Sean Strickland (-240) faces the robust Paulo Costa (+200). Before securing your picks for UFC 302: Makhachev x Poirier, be sure to see MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Kyle Marley.
Marley won the UFC’s first “ToutMaster” betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on various MMA betting and daily fantasy shows. He watches every fight on every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event.
Over the past five years, $100 bettors who followed Marley’s picks have won nearly $10,000. In February at UFC Fight Night, Marley advised SportsLine insiders to back underdog Jack Hermansson (+220) against rising prospect Joe Pyfer (-275) in the middleweight main event. Hermansson won by unanimous decision to give Marley’s followers another easy victory. Anyone who followed him saw massive returns.
Now, with UFC 302 in sight, Marley has studied the card from top to bottom and revealed his top selections. These picks are only available on SportsLine.
UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier preview
There’s a chance Makhachev (25-1) leaves a legacy to rival that of his compatriot and mentor, Khabib Nurmagomedov, who memorably retired in 2020 at age 32 with a 29-0 record. During his current winning streak, his closest fight came in a close decision against former featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski, who at the time was a dominant champion in his own right. Makhachev won the rematch at UFC 294 last October via first-round knockout.
Perhaps the glaring difference between Makhachev and Nurmagomedov is that Makhachev cannot finish his career undefeated. He was knocked out in October 2015 in his UFC debut by journeyman Adriano Martins, who went winless for the next nine years before taking the decision against Donovan Desmae in the Kongs FC promotion in March of this year.
Because of the debut loss, the UFC pitted Makhachev against slim competition for several years and his rise to the top, while not unnoticed, was relatively unspectacular. Even so, the 32-year-old Dagestani proved he belongs to the sport’s elite by defeating former champion Charles Oliveira for the vacant title at UFC 280 in October 2020.
However, crowd sentiment will likely be on the side of Poirier (30-8-1), whose 13-year tenure in the UFC is marked by numerous memorable wars. He won most of them, including two wins over Conor McGregor and Max Holloway and a two-fight split with Justin Gaethje. However, he was submitted in both title fights, one by Nurmagomedov and the other by Oliveira. Makhachev has 11 career finishes among his 25 professional wins. See full UFC 302 picks and analysis at SportsLine.
Top UFC 302 Predictions
Here we will reveal one of Marley’s selections at UFC 302: he is on the side of Jailton Almeida (-260) to overcome Alexander Romanov (+210) in a heavyweight pairing on the main card.
Both fighters were once among the division’s fastest-rising prospects, but have struggled against higher-level competition. Almeida (20-3) is widely considered one of the best fighters the heavyweight division has ever seen, and the 32-year-old Brazilian has ridden his dominant ground game to six consecutive UFC victories and a top-10 ranking. But in his last performance against veteran Curtis Blaydes, he was unable to get to the ground and Blaydes scored a TKO while defending a takedown.
Romanov (17-2) is a famous fighter who also rose in the rankings after a five-fight win streak to start his UFC career. But the 33-year-old Russian has seen his momentum halted due to defeats in two of his last three appearances.
“Romanov may have the advantage in striking, but I don’t see this fight happening on the feet. I see Almeida dominating with top control and probably finishing,” Marley told SportsLine. See who else can bet on UFC 302 here.
How to make choices in UFC 302
Marley has strong choices for Makhachev vs. Poirier and every other fight on the UFC 302 card. He also supports a fighter who “is the most dangerous striker” to come out with a big win. These picks, along with Marley’s full analysis, are only available on SportsLine.
Who wins UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier and how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now for in-depth picks for every fight at UFC 302, all from the seasoned expert who’s won nearly $10,000 on MMA picksand find out.
UFC 302 odds, fight card
See full UFC 302 picks, predictions and best bets here.
Islam Makhachev (-625) vs. Dustin Poirier (+450)
Sean Strickland (-240) x Paulo Costa (+200)
Kevin Holland (-260) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (+210)
Jailton Almeida (-260) x Alexander Romanov (+210)
Randy Brown (-180) x Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (+155)
César Almeida (-120) x Roman Kopylov (+100)
Grant Dawson (-400) vs.
Jake Matthews (-160) vs.
Alex Morono (-240) vs. Niko Price (+200)
Bassil Hafez (-330) vs.
Ailin Perez (-200) vs.
André Lima (-250) x Mitch Raposo (+205)
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