2024 NFC East win totals, best bets: Eagles still have questions, while the new-look Commanders offer intrigue

NFL Season win totals are some of the most fun stocks to bet on – it’s a season-long bet with weekly intensity because of how important each game is to the final season record. With the explosion of legalized sports betting, winning totals have been released for some time now, but we can’t really get crystallized, concrete numbers until NFL Schedule is released.

With the schedule defined and all angles of 2024 NFL season under scrutiny, we can finally start betting on season-long win totals. I’ll revisit them in August before the season starts, but we’ll try to find some value early in the offseason.

I am using DraftKings for win totals for ease of use, but you should research and get the best number, so let’s break them down division by division. Check out the rest of the divisions here as soon as they are released:

Before we begin, a few quick notes. First, we are picking all teams, but not betting on all teams. Second, any best bets will be indicated in bold, etc. Third, you should probably avoid betting on overs at this point, due to how quickly injuries can change a player’s fortunes. NFL teams.

Let’s go.

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles

• Above 10.5 (+105) / Below 10.5 (-125)

There was no way midway through the season last year that you could have predicted the Eagles’ win total would be reached, not with Philly sitting at 10-1 after a late November overtime win over the Bills. But the Eagles finished 1-5, finishing the season at 11-6. They are back with another robust win total before 2024, but it is reasonable to once again be concerned about this team. For one, they vastly exceeded expected wins (8.5) and also went 7-3 in one-score games. I think the addition of Vic Fangio as defensive coordinator will solve a lot of issues on that side of the ball, but I’m not sure Kellen Moore is a huge upgrade for the Eagles. Brian Johnson was clearly lost, but the Cowboys’ improvement (after firing Moore) and the Chargers’ struggles should cause some concerns in Philadelphia. Then there is the loss of Jason Kelce on the offensive end and Fletcher Cox on the defensive end. These are two of the team’s greatest leaders and best players. Howie Roseman has set up the succession strategy well with Cam Jurgens and Jordan Davis/Jalen Carter, but there could be a slide, especially early on. Philly has the profile of a playoff team, but I’m not convinced it will reach more than 11 wins with a difficult schedule and all the changes it has gone through.

Pick: Eagles under 10.5 (-125)

Dallas Cowboys

• Above 10.5 (+115) / Below 10.5 (-135)

No one enters this season under more pressure than Mike McCarthy, which is incredible considering the Cowboys coach is coming off a third consecutive 12-win season. That’s life when you work for Jerry Jones. The Cowboys stole the division from Philly late last year, but you could easily argue that Dallas was the better team for much of the season. The Cowboys actually underperformed their expected win total and finished 3-2 in one-score games. Dak Prescott had perhaps the best season of his career with McCarthy calling plays, and CeeDee Lamb was a force of nature down the stretch. Dan Quinn is gone now, which is a big concern because the defense has been elite after a disastrous start to McCarthy’s run in Dallas with Mike Nolan. Mike Zimmer is in town now, which could certainly prevent a major dropout. The AFC North and NFC South are on the agenda this year, with Dallas also drawing matchups against the Lions, 49ers and Texans. It’s a tough schedule for Dallas, and a slow start could increase the pressure on everyone in Dallas, especially if the Stars and/or Mavs win a title in the coming weeks. McCarthy may be a lame duck, but Dak, Lamb and Micah Parsons are stars competing for contracts. I think the Cowboys respond with a great regular season. The postseason is the biggest issue anyway, but that doesn’t matter for win totals.

Pick: Cowboys Over 10.5 (+115)

New York Giants

• Over 6.5 (+115) / Under 6.5 (-135)

Speaking of pressure, there could be a lot of pressure on the Giants in 2024 as well. New York declined to select a quarterback in the draft, leaving Daniel Jones and Drew Lock to battle for the starting role this offseason. Jones is the favorite to win, but I wouldn’t rule out Lock finding a way to steal things. Malik Nabers is a huge addition to a team that hasn’t had a legitimately elite pass catcher since the heyday of Odell Beckham Jr. The Colts, Seahawks and Vikings are a tough matchup for third place in terms of division crossover, and the schedule mentioned will be difficult. The Giants had a 4.5 win team profile last year, so they exceeded expectations for the second year in a row. Giants fans were frustrated last year, but Brian Daboll truly makes more out of less. The defensive line is outrageous with the addition of Brian Burns – I think they could generate enough pressure to actually produce a top tier unit if everything goes right. The Giants just need the offense to be league average and they can be a decent team. I just couldn’t even think about taking this on without knowing who the QB is and seeing how things are going.

Lean: Giants above 6.5 (+115)

Washington commanders

Above 6.5 (-120) / Below 6.5 (+100)

Washington is one of the most interesting teams to project this year. There’s a new coach, Dan Quinn, and a new quarterback, Jayden Daniels. The first was very successful in Atlanta; people just remember the Super Bowl collapse. I hope the defense improves on Jump Street. Offensively, I have no idea what to expect – Kliff Kingsbury coaching Daniels makes sense, but Kingsbury’s abilities as an OC can be questioned and the Commanders’ offensive line is a huge red flag. If the OL holds up, there’s real potential here thanks to the presence of Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson, plus the additions of Austin Ekeler, Luke McCaffrey and tight end Ben Sinnott. The Titans, Bears and Cardinals are a good option for last place, and if Daniels continues to develop the way he did at LSU, there’s a real chance the offense can be dynamic. I don’t know if the Commanders are a fringe playoff team or not, but I think there are more than 7 wins on the schedule with an updated coaching staff.

Lean: Commanders above 6.5 (-120)