2024 fantasy football the season is coming and the fantasy football Today’s team drafted its initial player outlooks for the entire player pool prior to training camp. Things will change when it comes to injuries, free agency and possibly the trade market, but the fantasy football The team led by Dave Richard, Jamey Eisenberg, Heath Cummings and Dan Schneier created player outlooks based on 2024 projection, June ADP (average draft position) and where these players fell off the board in our mock (and real) drafts until May and June. We will use FFT’s consensus PPR rankings (rankings from Jamey, Dave, and Heath) to analyze player by player in the second round (12-team leagues) of their drafts.
*These consensus rankings will be updated by June 10.*
2nd round
“The keys to Nacua’s success last year were his excellent route running, his timing with Matthew Stafford and his tendency to take advantage of Cooper Kupp’s absences and Kupp’s ability to draw double coverage. Understandably, Nacua’s numbers were better without Kupp (13.0 targets and 23.8 PPR points per game in Weeks 1 through 4) than with Kupp (8.5 targets and 15.7 PPR points per game from Week 5 onwards). realistic expectation on what to count on Nacua in his second season, which frankly is) still excellent considering the lack of elite receivers in Fantasy It helps that the Rams’ offense could be even better this year considering their improvements on the line. O and Stafford entering the season healthy. He’s in the conversation as a late first-round pick in the reworked PPR leagues; -Dave Richard
“Williams should have the opportunity to try to replicate his campaign from a year ago, which is why he is being selected as a top-10 RB in the second round, but injury issues, a prized rookie and a treacherous track record for Rams RBs are worrying. Williams missed spring training with a foot problem apparently caused by extreme training. The third-year tailback has already suffered four foot or ankle injuries since he entered the league. NFL. When he returns, he will have to contend with losing touches to rookie Blake Corum, who was Michigan’s standout running back for two seasons. Lastly, Williams was the first running back to total at least 1,000 yards under Rams coach Sean McVay since Todd Gurley, who was the last Rams running back to total more than 1,000 yards in consecutive seasons (2018-19 ). Williams was incredible in 2023, leading RBs in touches per game (21.7) and finishing in the top four in total touchdowns (15), yards per rush (5.0) and PPR points per game (21.2). If the workload is there and he stays healthy, he should be incredible, but that’s not promised given developments over the last few months. If you draft him, you’ll probably feel better if you also get Corum in Round 8, before other fantasy managers think about taking him.” – Dave Ricardo
“Barkley left the Giants this offseason to join the rival Eagles. We are selecting him as a top 10 running back in the second round of PPR leagues. The situation in Philadelphia is mixed. The offense is better, which is a plus, but Barkley may not see a huge touchdown increase because Jalen Hurts rushes for double-digit touchdowns every year. Historically, Hurts has also had a fairly low running back target rate, which may limit Barkley’s receiving advantage. the offensive line must open bigger holes, even with the retirement of Jason Kelce who averaged 5.6 yards per touch in his first two seasons in the league, he has been at 4.4 since then and averaged 4.3 last year We don’t think he’s the same guy as he was in 2018. In Dynasty leagues, Barkley has reached a point in his career where he should only be drafted by a prospect if you’re not. Heath Cummings
“It’s not often that a rookie enters the NFL with as many accolades as Harrison, but what else would you expect from a two-time unanimous All-American with back-to-back college seasons of at least 65 receptions, 1,200 yards and 14 touchdowns and a father in Pro Football Hall of Fame The truth is that Harrison is an exceptional, NFL-ready wide receiver who should instantly improve the passing game for the Cardinals more than the others, so expect at least eight scores per game from Harrison. looks reasonable. The rookie also appears to be a great option in the red zone, creating plenty of scoring opportunities all year long and has all the makings of an instant Fantasy stud, which is why we believe he’s worthy of a pick. 13th and 20th overall in the revamped leagues. It seems like a high price, but it’s what it will take for a player of his caliber with this type of opportunity. Harrison is also worthy of the first overall pick in every rookie-only draft. , including Superflex/two-QB.” – Dave Ricardo
“It was a tale of two seasons for Etienne. In the first half of the season, Etienne challenged the overall RB1 and averaged 106.2 yards per game and over 22 touches. After the Jaguars’ Week 9 bye week, Etienne had just one RB1 (top 12) and finished outside the RB2 range (top 24) in five of his last nine games with just four touchdowns scored. There are early rumors that Tank Bigsby will make a mental leap in OTAs. value at his current ADP. Etienne is coming off the board early in the third round of the Fantasy draft. Dan Schneier
“Olave was a popular prospect in 2023, but ultimately failed to live up to the hype and scored just the 19th most fantasy points per game. However, Olave commanded the 13th most targets per game with a share of 40 % in air yards. Both targets and air yards suggest the breakout is still in play and may only come a year later Olave will have another year of working for him with Derek Carr, without Michael Thomas to compete for targets, and possibly positive, touchdown regression coming his way. Olave is coming off the board late in Round 2 or early in Round 3 and should provide a WR2 floor with upside for more. -Dan Schneier
“White broke out in 2023 largely due to the way he fit into Dave Canales’ system. White finished with the fifth-most touches per game, top 10 among all RBs in carries, and top nine in targets, and he turned that massive volume into the 14th-most fantasy points per game and the ninth-most per game in PPR formats. The outlook has changed slightly in 2024 with Canales in Carolina and the Buccaneers using a draft pick on RB Bucky Irving . on the table around round 2/3 of the turn and is one of the best bets for volume in the RB position.” – Dan Schneier
2.8: Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers
“Evans fell out of Fantasy drafts last summer due to uncertainty about his quarterback play and concerns about his age. He responded by finishing as the WR4 overall in Fantasy with another 1,000-yard season (1,233 to be exact) and 13 receiving touchdowns. His relationship with Baker Mayfield has been excellent, specifically in the red zone. He enters 2024 as a top WR2 option, being selected early in round 3 despite outperforming several of the receivers drafted ahead of him. Dan Schneier
2.9: Isaías Pacheco, RB, Chiefs
“In the 15 games Pacheco had at least 15 touches last season including the playoffs, he scored at least 15 PPR points 10 times. And now it appears that Pacheco will be the Chiefs’ primary running back this season without much competition, opening the door for him to continue getting 15+ touches per week, he will benefit greatly from that workload, something Pacheco needs after earning just 6.6% explosive play rate and 16.4% avoided tackle rate last season, both below average among qualified rushers. The improvement in his efficiency will make him an excellent Fantasy running back with the potential to put up big numbers regardless of the opponent. That’s why it’s worth aiming for around 20th overall in PPR formats (slightly higher in non-PPR) as a must start. RB” -Dave Richard
“Cook took a big leap in 2023 and could be in line for another in 2024. That’s because the Bills signed Joe Brady, who turned Cook into a real workhorse in the second half of last season. Cook averaged 19.2 touches, 104.3 yards and just over 16 PPR Fantasy points per game. He touched the ball exactly 22 times in each of the Bills’ two playoff games. touchdowns for the second year in a row. If he has a normal touchdown season, Cook could produce a first-round pick. For now, we are comfortable drafting him as a top-10 prospect in the second round. -Heath Cummings
“Pittman has become Gardner Minshew’s preferred target in 2023. He has caught 156 targets and turned them into 109 receptions and 1,110 receiving yards. His 30% target rate ranks him among the league leaders. In 2024, his outlook changes with the Colts moving on from Minshew and Anthony Richardson returning to lineup as starter. There is more variation in Pittman’s profile after the team added Adonai Mitchell at WR in the draft and because it is unknown how Richardson will distribute the football in fantasy drafts, but he has. a lower floor than most WRs coming off the board at this range.” – Dan Schneier
“You can lower expectations for Adams in 2024, but not to the point where you want to ignore him. Proof of his dynamite production came early and late last season: Adams performed well in his first three games (25.1 PPR Point Average) before Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a concussion, then the Raiders’ season fell apart and the offense struggled until the final four weeks when Aidan O’Connell felt comfortable (averaging 19.7 PPR points). but he clearly needs proper quarterback play. To that end, O’Connell will face Gardner Minshew for the starting job this preseason. The two passers had nearly identical efficiency metrics in 2023, but neither was particularly good except O’Connell in his. last four. Even though O’Connell has improved a bit this offseason, he should win the job and have a chance to help Adams achieve quality stats. And even if it’s Minshew, at least you know he pushed Michael Pittman to 16.5 PPR per. -average number of games in his 12 full games in Indy. Draft Adams with expectations of 16 PPR points (probably closer to 9.5 non-PPR points) starting late in Round 2.” – Dave Ricardo
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