Christopher Thomas
Young Italian Jannik Sinner will look to follow up a big win with a Grand Slam breakthrough when he faces Daniil Medvedev in the 2024 Australian Open men’s singles final on Sunday. Sinner broke Novak Djokovic’s 33-match winning streak at Melbourne Park in Friday’s semi-final, denying the Serb the chance to win his 25th Grand Slam title and 11th on Rod Laver Arena. Sinner, 22, will make his first Grand Slam finals appearance. Medvedev will play in his third Australian Open final in four years but lost to Djokovic in 2021 and Rafael Nadal in 2022. Medvedev recovered from two sets down to beat Alexander Zverev in Friday’s second semi-final.
First serve at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne Park is scheduled for 3:30am ET on Sunday. The latest 2024 Australian Open odds list Sinner as a -300 favorite (risk $300 to win $100), with Medvedev priced as a +230 underdog (risk $100 to win $230). Other bets Medvedev vs. Sinner include an over-under in total games played at 38.5, Sinner -4.5 sets (-125) in handicap and total sets (three +124, four +155 and five +255), plus much more . Before making any Sinner vs Medvedev picks or 2024 Australian Open predictions, you need to see what tennis expert José Onorato has to say.
Onorato grew up playing competitive tennis in Caracas, Venezuela. After coming to the US, he trained with famous coach Nick Bollettieri at the IMG Academy in Florida and faced players like Robert Farah, now one of the best doubles players in the world.
Onorato, who has a double degree in finance and economics from the University of Miami, does extensive research before making any tennis bets. It studies current form, players’ tendencies on a given surface, weather conditions and many other relevant factors. This systematic approach has helped Onorato reach 128-90-7 – an increase of 69.25 units – since 2022.
For Sunday, Onorato has examined the latest Australian Open odds for 2024 and released his coveted best bets for the Sinner vs Medvedev men’s final. He’s sharing his picks and expert analysis only on SportsLine. See what they are on SportsLine.
Why you should support Sinner
Scoring a dominant win in a five-set event against Djokovic on Friday was a big step for the Italian. Sinner had beaten Djokovic in two of their previous three meetings – last season’s ATP finals and the Davis Cup finals – but this one was much bigger. He forced several errors from the most decorated player in men’s football, and Sinner’s accuracy and powerful backhand should cause Medvedev plenty of problems. Winning a Grand Slam title soon seems inevitable for Sinner.
The 22-year-old also has Medvedev’s number. The Russian has a 6-3 lead in all games, but Sinner has won the last three. He defeated Medvedev in the finals in Beijing and Vienna last season and has 10 career ATP titles. Add to that that Medvedev has just played a semi-final that lasted over four hours, and the odds appear to be stacked against him. Sinner led the ATP Tour by saving 69.6% of break points and was second by winning 73.9% of deciding sets in 2023. See what to bet on SportsLine.
Why you should support Medvedev
The Russian is a relentlessly consistent player and that approach took him to number one in the world rankings two years ago. He now sits in third place, just ahead of Sinner. Medvedev has the advantage of having played in two previous finals at Rod Laver Arena and having five Grand Slam final appearances under his belt. He beat Djokovic to win the 2021 US Open and has shown repeatedly in Melbourne that he will not give up. He recovered from two sets down to win twice.
Medvedev has one of the best return games on the ATP Tour and keeps the ball in play, trying to force his opponent into mistakes. With nerves possibly getting to Sinner on the big stage, it could be an effective strategy. The 27-year-old won 31.4% of his return games last season and converted 46.4% of his break points, leading the tour in both categories. The 6-foot-2 Medvedev also has a powerful first serve and is one of the tournament’s most consistent players on hard courts. See what to bet on SportsLine.
How to make the 2024 Australian Open men’s singles final picks
Onorato made his best bets for the men’s final. He’s leaning towards under 39.5 total games (-120), but has two even stronger picks, on outright winner and handicap. You need to see your pick and analysis before considering any bets on the 2024 Australian Open.
So who wins Medvedev against Sinner and what are the picks that could lead to big returns? Check out José Onorato’s analysis for the 2024 Australian Open men’s final, all from the tennis expert who has accumulated 69.25 units since 2022.
